good news for Democrats
is this: as the
midterm election year begins, a new CNN poll conducted by
the Democratic party has a slight edge on a generic congressional
that edge has tightened to a narrow 5 points among registered voters.
also shows those voters who say they are "most enthusiastic" about
turning out to vote this fall favor Democrats by a wide 15-point margin.
The poll shows Democrats at
49%, Republicans at 44% among
registered voters in the poll and that is important because the margin
almost identical to Democrats' standing in January of 2006, "the last
midterm election year in which they made significant gains in the House
Representatives," according to a new CNN report.
And these days in politics
slight edges are important
because when Donald Trump was elected President, most polls showed he
narrow opportunity to win and he did just that, wining within the plus
margin of error of most of the polls.
The downside for Democrats
is that this latest poll is a
major shift from CNN polls conducted in the past three months, in which
Democrats held double-digit advantages over the Republicans.
In the "enthusiasm"
Democrats have a big edge. 51% of Democrats say they are "
enthusiastic about voting in this year's midterm elections"
compared to 43% of Republicans who say the same thing.
according to CNN, enthusiasm for this year's contests
peaks among liberal
Democrats, 62% of whom say they are "deeply
energized" about voting but among conservative Republicans, just 46%
the same thing.